Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.195353 0.222474 0.251593 0.285136 0.322659 0.363289 0.410565
2025-11-30 0.160839 0.197418 0.239330 0.290728 0.351873 0.422092 0.508630
2025-12-07 0.133704 0.175209 0.225518 0.290610 0.372182 0.470568 0.597716
2025-12-14 0.113442 0.157661 0.214022 0.290481 0.390750 0.516927 0.686756
2025-12-21 0.098069 0.143802 0.204809 0.291160 0.409065 0.563079 0.777867
2025-12-28 0.086985 0.133953 0.199255 0.295291 0.431232 0.614777 0.878864
2026-01-04 0.078827 0.126990 0.196536 0.302430 0.457274 0.672617 0.991176
2026-01-11 0.070812 0.119099 0.191381 0.305109 0.476545 0.721616 1.093583
2026-01-18 0.064613 0.113149 0.188283 0.310141 0.499046 0.775970 1.206213
2026-01-25 0.060082 0.109252 0.187777 0.318752 0.527069 0.839540 1.335409
2026-02-01 0.054163 0.102314 0.181661 0.317771 0.539852 0.880620 1.432802
2026-02-08 0.048937 0.095920 0.175724 0.316350 0.551458 0.920075 1.529285
2026-02-15 0.044043 0.089717 0.169773 0.314815 0.563439 0.961916 1.633810
2026-02-22 0.041016 0.086582 0.168796 0.321581 0.589508 1.027566 1.779687
2026-03-01 0.037347 0.081775 0.164345 0.321807 0.604362 1.075701 1.899774
2026-03-08 0.034066 0.077317 0.160058 0.321858 0.618723 1.123579 2.021727
2026-03-15 0.031242 0.073429 0.156427 0.322706 0.634362 1.174227 2.150665
2026-03-22 0.029136 0.070781 0.154903 0.327296 0.656898 1.237699 2.304364
2026-03-29 0.027571 0.069105 0.155115 0.335160 0.685837 1.313675 2.483181
2026-04-05 0.025649 0.066394 0.152950 0.338115 0.705634 1.374312 2.637854
2026-04-12 0.024138 0.064433 0.152135 0.343645 0.730576 1.445300 2.814069
2026-04-19 0.023084 0.063421 0.153222 0.353094 0.763617 1.532566 3.023437
2026-04-26 0.021256 0.060299 0.149428 0.352021 0.775717 1.581548 3.165076